House of Saud, USA & Israel:Partners in Crime and Friends for Life
Kingdom and Muslim Brotherhood in Conflict
Why Saudis must purchase the cows if they get the milk for free? This is the question many professionals concluded after inspecting the possibilities for Riyadh to have excellent relationships with Israel in exchange for military assistance. Regardless of being a center for Islamic world and keeping in view the atrocities of Israel on Palestine, House of Saud would secure every opportunity to support their Israeli masters. Little or no affinity is shown from the House of Saud to support suffering Muslims across the world.
In fact, House of Saud establishes its authority by instigating explosive sectarian violence in the Middle East. The House has provoked many “Holy Wars” with vested political interests across the Muslim world; and motivated Muslim youth to become Jihadists against Shia/Alawite political order.
With changing times, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS), has taken many steps to modernize its youth with an overhauling vision, and this is not going too well with that rigid lot who butchered their Muslim brothers in the name of jihad. But these crusaders are all in for better, improved and thriving relationships with USA and Israel regardless of their anti-Muslim policies.
Keeping in view the several domestic and external challenges that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) is already facing, owing to “modern” reforms regarding “official gambling” and women empowerment, many wonder where House of Saud would go from this point onward.
Conventional knowledge holds that due to the fact what is horrific for Iran is proper for Israel in this zero-sum game, Israel is presenting the Saudis with all the aid that they request in their conflict against Tehran. Therefore, Riyadh has little to lose from going public as a pal of Israel.
But this logic ignores numerous possibilities.Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has already revealed a profound interest in befriending US President Donald Trump since the time he was in office; and Trump has a proven and blatant affinities with Israel—even if Israel cannot offer Saudi Arabia a whole lot greater than it is currently providing, it is feasible that Saudi interests could be advanced with the aid of setting diplomatic relations with Israel.
Second, if Israel does think about formal ties with Saudi Arabia, most likely it is withholding some aid which it has been helping with to KSA. Third, the Saudis can also be restrained in the scope and provision of the resource they can take delivery of except if they do not recognize Isarel.
Finally, as the Israeli-Palestinian warfare is now fairly low on the agenda of the Middle East in turmoil, the price of recognizing Israel may additionally now not be very excessive regardless of viable Iranian or Qatari efforts to capitalize on the trouble for their propaganda warfare in opposition to Riyadh.
It is also really worth noting that MBS’s perception of his interests may additionally now not be in line with how professionals percieve them.
MBS has already taken on a military promotion campaign in Yemen, impeded Qatar, enforced the resignation of the Premier of Lebanon, and none of these appear to have produced the desired results.The query is whether these were a string of errors due to inexperience or if there is some “method to the madness”.
Considering that he does not seem keen to reverse any of those choices and climb down the escalation ladder, it is far from positive whether or not MBS himself sees his aggressive insurance and appeasement policies as missteps, regardless of the giant extent of political commentary deriding them. Regardless of the consideration of right and wrong, it is feasible or even possible that, in the future, he will employ policies that are counterintuitive to the community of foreign policy experts.
And there are symptoms that exchange might also be afoot in the Israeli-Saudi relationship.
First, the Kingdom of Bahrain, which takes its foreign coverage policy cues from Saudi Arabia, currently sent a delegation to Israel to promote religious tolerance. It appears feasible to send this team of Bahraini nationals was a litmus test related to the workable backlash in the Arab for growing the visibility of ties with Israel (in the week after Trump’s announcement recognizing Jerusalem, no less).
In addition to it, the building of the Saudi “smart city” nicknamed “Neom” might also broaden the convergence of Saudi and Israeli economic mutual benefits as well as the venue for cooperation to attain them. It is said that Israeli firms are in talks with the royal court docket about investing and growing MBS’s today’s project, which seeks to diversify the Saudi financial system and flip the barren region kingdom into an alternate hub.
But with these baby steps onward, there are additionally obvious circumstances in which Riyadh resists altering its long-standing insurance policies that make relations with Israel contingent on a peace agreement with the Palestinians. For instance, the kingdom lately blocked Israel’s participation in the World Chess Championships in Riyadh.
All that being said, it is truly viable that an unpredictable actor like MBS could determine to steer clear of the Palestinian trouble and build open relations with Israel either step by step or in a single daring move.
It may additionally imply taking on more project at a time when the crown prince already has his hands full, however comparable arguments do now not appear to have influenced his decision-making calculus in the past.