Wisconsin’s GOP primary may be critical for the Republicans who are hoping to stop Trump from settling the nomination outright, with the recent polling giving them hope that Senator Ted Cruz could pull off a momentous win.
The state has 42 delegates up for grabs, with the 24 awarded by district & 18 going to the statewide winner. Even if Ted Cruz wins by a small edge, he will automatically take 18 state delegates & likely a good portion of the district level delegates. That’d probably keep Donald Trump below the level that he needs to win before Republican convention.
Of the 6 surveys taken of race since March, all but 1 show Ted Cruz ahead, with the margins ranging between 1 – 10 points. The Recent Fox News & Marquette Law School polls each discovered Ted Cruz with a 10-point edge, up considerably from earlier in the year.
Wisconsin’s demographics — light on evangelical voters and heavy on those without a college degree— would seem to make it natural territory for Donald Trump.
Nevertheless, the frustration of the GOP voters feel elsewhere appears to be mainly missing in the state.
“There is certainly a distrust of Washington, but there is a realization that the Republican leadership can work & listen,” said the executive director of Conservation American Majority, Matt Batzel.
“So Trump’s message of cleaning house and trying to be a complete outsider rings a bit hollow,” he added.
The groups and the candidates who’re opposing Donald Trump poured a combined $3.8 million into advertising in Wisconsin, in comparison to approximately $430,000 spent by Donald Trump’s campaign.
Much of state’s political leadership have weighed in against Donald Trump, as has local talk radio. House Speaker, Paul Ryan repeatedly condemned Trump’s rhetoric. Wisconsin Governor, Scott Walker last week threw his endorsement behind Ted Cruz & is featured in TV ads for Texas senator’s campaign.
“I just fundamentally believe if you look at facts, you look at numbers, that Cruz’s in the best position by far to both win the nomination of Republican Party & then go on & defeat Clinton in the fall of this year,” said Walker